Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) faces new challenges as the tech industry shifts towards more efficient AI models.
The recent DeepSeek news has raised questions about the future of Nvidia’s dominance in the AI chip market.
Market Shifts and Nvidia’s Challenges
Nvidia has long relied on hyperscaler capex spending to drive its revenue and margins.
However, the focus is now shifting towards efficiency rather than raw computing power. This change could impact Nvidia’s market position.
Investor Insights
Bluesea Research, an investor, believes Nvidia may face a correction soon. Despite Nvidia’s strong track record, the investor notes that the market is adjusting to new AI efficiencies.
Companies like Amazon and Microsoft are already offering DeepSeek models to reduce costs.
Short-Term Adjustments
Bluesea predicts a short-term adjustment in AI spending by big tech companies. This could hurt the demand for Nvidia’s latest chips.
Additionally, hyperscalers like Google, Amazon, and Microsoft are developing their own custom AI chips, reducing their dependence on Nvidia’s GPUs.
Revenue and EPS Uncertainty
There is a large variance in revenue and EPS estimates for Nvidia. For FY 2027, the high-end estimates are roughly double the lower projections.
This uncertainty is unusual among Nvidia’s peers and highlights the risks facing the company.
Investor Recommendation
Bluesea Research advises against selling Nvidia shares, citing the risks that are not fully reflected in the current valuation. The investor rates NVDA shares as a Sell.
Wall Street’s View
Despite Bluesea’s concerns, Wall Street remains optimistic about Nvidia. With 37 Buy ratings and only 3 Hold ratings, NVDA has a Strong Buy consensus.
Analysts predict a 12-month price target of $178.71, suggesting a ~38% upside from current levels.
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