Iran’s Supreme Leader has issued a direct warning to the US Navy — but experts say actually sinking an American aircraft carrier is almost impossible.
Ali Khamenei recently suggested Iran could send a US warship “to the bottom of the sea.” His comments appeared to target US carriers operating in the Middle East. He did not name a specific weapon, but Iran is reportedly seeking advanced anti-ship missiles from China.
Military analysts say even with new missiles, Iran would struggle to sink a US supercarrier. Modern carriers like the USS Gerald R. Ford and the USS Abraham Lincoln are massive, heavily armored, and built to survive major damage. They also sail with a full Carrier Strike Group, including destroyers, cruisers, aircraft patrols, and missile defenses.
The last US aircraft carrier sunk in combat was the USS Bismarck Sea during World War II. Today’s carriers are far larger and far tougher. Experts say destroying one would require overwhelming firepower and near-perfect conditions.
But sinking a carrier may not be the real goal. A direct hit that disables flight operations — known as a “mission kill” — could still be a major win for Tehran. Even limited damage to a flight deck or catapult system could force a carrier out of action for repairs.
History shows carriers are not invincible. Fires aboard the USS Forrestal in 1967 and the USS Enterprise in 1969 caused heavy casualties and severe damage, even though both ships survived. Those incidents led to stricter safety rules and better damage control systems.
Analysts warn that even a small but visible strike could carry huge political impact. US carriers are powerful symbols. A successful attack — even if it does not sink the ship — could shift global perception and fuel Iran’s deterrence message.
Still, attacking a carrier would risk massive retaliation from Washington. Experts say Tehran likely understands that risk. The bigger question is not whether Iran can sink a US supercarrier — but whether it might try to score a symbolic blow instead.
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